A Positive Employment Report for August

The NAHB Eye on Housing reported an increase in nonfarm payroll employment from July to August this year. Nonfarm payroll employment increased to 31 states in August with 235,000. This was at a slower rate than seen in July with an increase of 1,053,000.

August saw a strong increase on a month-over-month basis in California where 104,300 jobs were created, in Texas 39,300 and New York 23,500 were created. Nineteen of the states and the District of Columbia saw a decline with a loss of 64,100 jobs.

Out of the 48 states which reported construction sector job information, 24 of those states saw an increase in both residential and non-residential construction jobs. Colorado, South Dakota and Utah saw no changes while Nevada added 3,000 construction jobs. There was a 4.4% increase in New Hampshire but a 3.7% in Kansas between July and August.

The construction sector jobs also saw an increase of 2.7% by 193,000 jobs on a year-over-year basis. California again came in at the top with 35,900 construction sector jobs while New York lost the most at 11,700 jobs. In percentage comparisons, Rhode Island had the highest growth at 13.9 which Wyoming at the worst at a decline of 7.7%.

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Patios Are Now Built on Over Half of New Homes

The National Association of Home Builders reported that over 60% of new homes built in 2020 have patios. This is the first time since the Census Bureau's 2005 survey that patios have been on over 50% of new homes. There were around 990,000 single-family homes started in 2020 and 61.4% of these homes had patios.

The shares of new homes with patios started to dip in 2007 from 50.4% in 2006 to 48.8% in 2007. The shares did not begin on the upwards trend again until 2011. The big increase from 2019 at 59.6% to 2020 at 61.4% was due to buyers' change in desires in what they want in a home. The pandemic caused us to rethink what is important when it comes to a home. Having a private place to spend outdoors became very important.

The nine US Census divisions also saw a drastic change across the board. Surprisingly the Mountain division was the highest at 74%, next was West South Central at 73%, the South Atlantic at 67%, and the Pacific at 59% all at over 50%. The remaining regions were all under 50% with the East North Central coming in at 47%, the West North Central and East South Central at 41%, New England at 21% and Middle Atlantic at 19%.

As for the construction and size of patios, those also differ. The majority of the patios across the board are constructed of poured concrete, followed closely by concrete and brick pavers. The average size across the board for a patio on a new single-family home was reported to be about 278 square feet. The largest were over 350 square feet in the Mid Atlantic, East North Central and Pacific divisions. The smallest which were under 200 square feet were found in the East South Central division.

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2021 Sees a Record High in Private Residential Spending

The total private residential construction spending is 21% higher than reported a year ago. The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) analysis of Census Construction Spending data reported a 2.5% rise in total private residential construction spending in January. January saw a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $713 billion making this a record high.

The pandemic has caused many of us to spend more time at home. The gains were stemmed from ” strong growth of spending on single-family and improvements.” In January, the data shows that single-family construction hit a $376.2 billion annual pace which was up by 3%. There was also a 2.3% increase in spending on remodeling, major replacements and additions.

Although the majority of the surge in spending was in homebuilding, there was also a rise in public and private non-housing-related construction.

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Household Growth in New Orleans Increases over the Past 5 Years

Not only have the New Orleans house prices increased 46% since Hurricane Katrina hit 10 years ago, but the city has also seen a 90% recovery rate. Many believed that the tens of thousands who fled the area after Hurricane Katrina would not return, and this was simply not the case. A report which came out on July 13, 2015, from Data Center shows that between 2010 and 2014, the growth in New Orleans was 12%, making the city 28th in population growth among 714 cities with more than 50,000 people nationwide. The study also indicated there was an additional 1% growth between 2014 and

2015.

In the New Orleans area, households that received mail increased by 19,651 since June 2010, with 65 out of 72 neighborhoods seeing some sort of increase. In general, 40 of the 72 neighborhoods have already recovered 90% of the population pre-Katrina and 16 neighborhoods have actually exceeded their pre-Katrina population.

The neighborhoods which saw the fastest recovery rate of at least 30% were ironically the most heavily flooded areas. These include households in Filmore, Holy Cross, Lakeview, Lower 9th Ward, Pines Village, Pontchartrain Park and West Lake Forest. Between 2010 and 2014, the areas known as the “sliver by the river”, added 1,355 households in the Central Business District (CBD), 545 households in Treme/Lafitte, 321 households in the Lower Garden District and 297 households in Bywater. Eight neighborhoods have increased by at least 100 households which include the Central Business District (CBD), Central City, St. Roch, Little Woods, Lower 9th Ward, B.W. Cooper, 7th Ward and Treme/Lafitte.

Only four of these neighborhoods have less than 50% pre-Katrina households. These include B.W. Cooper, Florida, Iberville and Lower 9th Ward. Not to worry, B.W. Cooper, Florida and Iberville are housing developments that have mostly been demolished or are being redeveloped so they cannot be considered households until completed. The Lower 9th Ward was the worst damaged from the storm and is making a slower recovery than most. Only seven neighborhoods lost households between 2010 and 2015. Many are relocating to the city of New Orleans “proper” and its surrounding or suburb neighborhoods, placing a great demand on new housing developments. In general, New Orleans is making a great recovery and is holding steady with its population numbers.

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