Changes to the New Orleans Housing Market

 A Bucktown resident put their house on the market in January hoping the nice three bedroom home would sell fast after witnessing the explosion of buyers in the housing market since the Pandemic. After sitting on the market for two weeks with no offers Roxanna Campos was surprisingly disappointed.

“I would have thought we’ have multiple offers by now. If we haven’t had any movement in the next week, we might have to rethink things,” said Campos.

Sellers across the country are facing this same situation. They are having to lower their asking prices and agree on concessions to buyers. In 2022 the volume of home sales was down, and homes were sitting on the market longer according to the Gulf South Real Estate Information Network.

Although home prices did keep rising even with the slow down in the market. In fact, the median sale price in the New Orleans metro area was up 7.8% year over year to $277,000. This was up 24% from the pre-pandemic that was reported at $219,400. The biggest drop in pending sales was in outlying Plaquemines, northern St. Tammany, Tangipahoa and the River parishes.

Why is New Orleans seeing a slowdown? This can be blamed on the rising interest rates, high inflation and the big jump in property and flood insurance rates.

“The insurance rates are literally killing deals. I had a quote for a $10,000 premium for property insurance on a 2,800-square-foot house in Metairie. We couldn’t do the deal. The buyer had to walk away from their dream house,” said broker Jiarra Rayford of Rayford Realty.

Even with the total inventory of homes for sale is up due to the cooler market, the home prices in the area are still reflecting the rise. In some areas, like St. Charles Parish, the home prices doubled. Tangipahoa had the biggest increase up 15%, St. Tammany up 11%, Orleans up 5.8%, and Jefferson was up 5.5%.

In the New Orleans metro area, homes that were priced between $224,000- $350,000 sold the quickest. The average days on the market for these homes was around 32 days. Many agents throughout the area are seeing a shift in sellers. They are being a bit more realistic about their pricing.

“It’s not like the market is dead,” Mirambell said. “I had nine offers last week on a house in Old Metairie. Another one in New Orleans had an escalation clause for $40,000 above list price. So, houses that are updated and have a lot of appeal are still flying off the shelf.”

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Why House Hunters Will Be Ready To Buy In The Next Six Months

 According to a survey done by Realtor.com, 46% of potential house buyers said they were planning on purchasing a home within the next six months. This study looked at those who accessed listings and search results of homes on the site. The survey justifies that although we look like we are in a recession and the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is close to 6%, this is not detouring buyers in the market. This share of buyers reported is actually higher than reported in 2019 even with mortgage rates reaching the highest level since 2008 and home prices increasing.

Many potential home buyers are looking at the market as an advantage. Rising inventory levels are bringing more options for buyers to find a home within their budget. It is reported that two in five buyers feel that the U.S. economy is already in a recession but it will have no effect on their decision to purchase a home in the near future. Close to 27% of home buyers are more likely to purchase while the economy is in a recession. This figure is up 24% from what was reported in 2021 although there are many potential home buyers that are scared of the current market. In fact, the share of buyers who say they are more than likely not going to purchase a home during a recession rose from 5% to 6.5% this year.

The housing market is definitely tipping the scale from a sellers’ market over to a buyers’ market. Those in the industry said there are fewer buyers who are being outbid going from 12.6% to 9.4% from this spring to summer. The share of buyers who report being overbid on a home has decreased as the market has begun to correct itself

Even though there are home buyers who are willing to purchase in an uncertain economic time, it is still a sellers’ market. Twelve percent of first-time homebuyers are still being outbid in today’s market. Two in five first-time home buyers are also having a hard time finding a home within their budget. Currently, the median price of homes in the U.S. was $435,0000 according to Reatlor.com. This summer was at an all-time high of $450,000! Twenty percent of first-time homebuyers also said they are having a hard time buying because of their credit score.

If you are a first-time homebuyer or in the market to purchase a home, you will want to work with a local real estate agent who can help you navigate these uncertain waters. A local agent can help you find a home in your price range in your desired area.

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Single-Family Homes in the Greater New Orleans Area

New home starts for single-family homes in the Greater New Orleans area are on the rise, according to Jon Luther with The Home Builders Association of Greater New Orleans.  New construction starts were at 1.21 million last month, and that included single-family home starts of 600,000 – 700,000.  Between commercial building conversions and new construction, apartments are leading the race on new construction in New Orleans simply because the opportunity to build new homes is more limited within the city limits because of the lack of land to build.  However, even if builders cannot start and build out full-scale, new home developments, there is plenty of new construction going on in the city

in the form of tearing down blighted housing and even taking an existing home “back to the studs” and starting over again as a complete rebuild.

“Anytime you see 600,000 to 700,000 new (single-family) starts, home builders are going to be pretty damn happy,” Luther said. “They’re the best numbers we’ve seen in about 10 years.”
According to Luther, the best chance that New Orleans has of starting and building a large scale development would be to utilize the 5,000 acres of land near the Avondale shipyard.  Officials in Jefferson Parish have had several meetings about rezoning this property which is owned by several different owners.  If they were to release the land for building purposes, New Orleans would be able to develop and build either a Traditional Neighborhood Development (TND) or similar master planned community on this property.

Another obstacle for providing new homes for home buyers on the Southshore in New Orleans is that it is difficult for builders to provide housing for first-time home buyers.  According to Luther, the appraisal system in New Orleans recently went through an overhaul to ensure that appraisers knew how to appraise a new home for sale in New Orleans because the values given during appraisals were losing local builders a lot out of their profit margins.  Also, with the recent concessions by the

Department of Housing and Urban  Development in lowering the down payments on FHA loans for first time home buyers, there is now a possibility of Millenials being able to move out of apartment living in owning their own home – as long as affordable housing can be built in New Orleans.

If you are interested in living close to New Orleans but not having to “pay for it” with higher taxes, higher utilities, and city rents, you should consider moving to The Parks of Plaquemines, a masterplanned subdivision located just 10 miles from the Central Business District in New Orleans, across the Intercoastal Bridge.  With a convenient location, safer neighborhood proximity, and a little bit more lot space on which to play, The Parks of Plaquemines offers lots for sale and homes for sale at competitive new home pricing.  Contact Us at 504-364-2350 or E-mail Info@TheParksLifestyle.comInfo@TheParksLifestyle.com for more information.

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